{"id":1020,"date":"2019-10-21T23:17:20","date_gmt":"2019-10-21T23:17:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/finance\/2019\/10\/21\/intel-earnings-even-with-pc-surge-chip-market-rebound-seems-far-off\/"},"modified":"2019-10-21T23:17:20","modified_gmt":"2019-10-21T23:17:20","slug":"intel-earnings-even-with-pc-surge-chip-market-rebound-seems-far-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/2019\/10\/21\/intel-earnings-even-with-pc-surge-chip-market-rebound-seems-far-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Intel earnings: Even with PC surge, chip market rebound seems far off"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\">\n<p>Intel Corp. is saddled with expectations to lead a hoped-for turnaround in the semiconductor market, but even unexpected growth in personal-computer sales are unlikely to show that a rebound has begun.<\/p>\n<p>When Intel &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n                                    <span class=\"quote up bgQuote\" data-channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/203649727\/composite\" data-bgformat=\"\"><a class=\"qt-chip trackable\" data-fancyid=\"XNASStockINTC\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/stock\/intc\" data-track-mod=\"MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">INTC, <span class=\"bgPercentChange\">+1.50%<\/span><\/a><\/span>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                        \u00a0reports third-quarter earnings on Thursday after the market closes, earnings and revenue are both expected to decline from last year, though less so than other companies in the struggling sector. Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay said he expects the sector to be mostly in line with estimates that call for chip-related companies\u2019 earnings to fall more than 30% and sales to decline more than 11% as a recovery for the sector likely gets pushed out to 2020. <\/p>\n<p>Despite the drastic declines in financial performance, chip stocks are up about 40% for the year, so Ramsay suggests investors grow selective about chip stocks in the near term and look for specific news. Along with how Huawei and China trade are affecting the industry, Ramsay said investors need to look for how data-center spending is recovering and separating out the noise of how tariffs boosted PC sales. Analysts pointed to a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/global-pc-shipments-grow-for-second-straight-quarter-amid-tariff-supply-issues-2019-10-10\" class=\"icon none\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">second straight quarter of growing PC shipments<\/a>, prompted by fears of higher tariffs down the road as a relevant factor. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect Intel to print upside to Q3, while taking a defensive competitive tone and touting its silicon breadth,\u201d Ramsay said. \u201cQ3 should be strong on PCs, but what about the back side of this inventory build?\u201d <\/p>\n<h6>What to watch for<\/h6>\n<p> <strong>Earnings: <\/strong>Of the 37 analysts surveyed by FactSet, Intel on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of $1.23 a share, down from $1.40 a share reported in the year-ago quarter but up from $1.17 a share expected at the beginning of the quarter. Estimize, a software platform that uses crowdsourcing from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of $1.27 a share.<\/p>\n<p> <strong>Revenue:<\/strong> Wall Street expects revenue of $18.05 billion from Intel, according to 35 analysts polled by FactSet. That\u2019s down from $19.16 billion reported in the year-ago quarter, but up from the $17.89 billion forecast at the beginning of the quarter. Estimize expects revenue of $18.17 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Data-center group, or DCG, revenue is expected to drop 8.5% to $5.62 billion, according to FactSet data, while Intel\u2019s largest segment \u2014 client-computing, the traditional PC group \u2014 is expected to decline 6.2% to $9.6 billion from the year-ago period. Nonvolatile memory solutions revenue is expected to fall 10.2% to $970.7 million, compared with the year-ago period. \u201cInternet of Things,\u201d or IoT, revenue is expected to rise 19% to $1.09 billion.<\/p>\n<p> <strong>Stock movement: <\/strong>Intel shares are flat since the company\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/intel-stock-rallies-more-than-5-as-earnings-outlook-top-street-view-2019-07-25\" class=\"icon none\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">last earnings report<\/a> as of Monday\u2019s close. In comparison, the Dow Jones Industrial Average &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n                                    <span class=\"quote up bgQuote\" data-channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210598065\/realtime\" data-bgformat=\"\"><a class=\"qt-chip trackable\" data-fancyid=\"DowJonesGlobalIndexDJIA\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/djia\" data-track-mod=\"MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DJIA, <span class=\"bgPercentChange\">+0.21%<\/span><\/a><\/span>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                        \u00a0has declined 1.2%, the S&amp;P 500 index &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n                                    <span class=\"quote up bgQuote\" data-channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210599714\/realtime\" data-bgformat=\"\"><a class=\"qt-chip trackable\" data-fancyid=\"SPUSIndexSPX\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/spx\" data-track-mod=\"MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SPX, <span class=\"bgPercentChange\">+0.69%<\/span><\/a><\/span>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                        \u00a0has advanced 0.1%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n                                    <span class=\"quote up bgQuote\" data-channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210598365\/realtime\" data-bgformat=\"\"><a class=\"qt-chip trackable\" data-fancyid=\"XNASIndexCOMP\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/comp\" data-track-mod=\"MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">COMP, <span class=\"bgPercentChange\">+0.91%<\/span><\/a><\/span>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                         has declined 0.9%, and the PHLX Semiconductor Index &#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n                                    <span class=\"quote up bgQuote\" data-channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210598361\/realtime\" data-bgformat=\"\"><a class=\"qt-chip trackable\" data-fancyid=\"XNASIndexSOX\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/sox\" data-track-mod=\"MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SOX, <span class=\"bgPercentChange\">+1.88%<\/span><\/a><\/span>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/>\n                            &#13;<br \/>\n                                  &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n      &#13;<br \/>\n                                        \u00a0has increased 1.6% in that time.<\/p>\n<p>Of the 42 analysts who cover Intel, 13 have buy or overweight ratings, 20 have hold ratings and nine have sell or underweight ratings, with an average price target of $54.20, or 4% above Monday\u2019s close.<\/p>\n<h6>What analysts are saying<\/h6>\n<p>Instinet analyst David Wong, who has a buy on Intel, expects the boost in PC sales to help support in-line results for the company\u2019s sales. <\/p>\n<p>Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer, who has a market-perform rating on Intel, also sees in-line results but expects \u201ca somewhat cautious tone given persistent macro\/trade uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBy key end markets, server is improving into 2H\/2020 with cloud growth offsetting enterprise declines,\u201d Schafer said. \u201cPC demand appears in line though CPU shortages related to INTC 10nm yields present a drag.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Stifel analyst Patrick Ho is looking to see if Intel raises its capital expenditure plans of $15.5 billion \u201cWe believe the company continues to experience supply shortages (which is troubling in its own right) and this may drive some incremental 14nm and 10nm capacity to meet this demand,\u201d Ho said.<\/p>\n<p>In chip parlance, nanometers, or nm, refers to the size of the transistors that go on a computer chip, with the general rule being that smaller transistors are faster and more efficient in using power. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cAdditionally, our checks suggest that Intel is aggressively pushing toward the next-generation 7nm node, which it still has targeted for volume production in 2021,\u201d Ho said. \u201cAdmittedly, we are somewhat cautious on the timing of this future node ramp, but we believe this is driving what we expect will be another large capex year in 2020.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Intel Corp. is saddled with expectations to lead a hoped-for turnaround in the semiconductor market, but even unexpected growth in personal-computer sales are unlikely to show that a rebound has begun. When Intel &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; INTC, +1.50%&#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; &#13; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":348,"featured_media":1021,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1020","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/348"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1020"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1020\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1020"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1020"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jobbinghood.com\/magazine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1020"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}